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Swindon Town v Grimsby Town prediction

Sat 22 Nov, 15:00 League Two Full time 2–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Swindon Town to win 42%
Swindon 42% Draw 27% Grimsby 31%
Best price2.40 WilliamHill Fair price2.40 from our 42%

How we got to 42%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 39%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 46%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceSwindon Town to win 42%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Swindon Town All games L D D W D
0–4 at ACC 2–2 v NOT 0–0 v CLU 2–1 v TRR 1–1 at FLT
Grimsby Town All games L W L D L
1–2 v CLU 1–0 v GLG 2–3 at CAX 2–2 at BRW 0–1 v CST

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes56% Both teams scored in 2 of Swindon Town's last 3 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Grimsby Town's last 2 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerSwindonDrawGrimsby
WilliamHill 2.40 3.30 2.75
bet365 2.40 3.40 2.80
Betfair 2.30 3.25 2.70
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Swindon Town v Grimsby Town: prediction and result

Swindon Town hosted Grimsby Town in the League Two on Saturday 22 November, and it finished 2–2.

Swindon Town are in mixed form: 1 won, 3 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at Fleetwood Town.

Grimsby Town are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat at home to Chesterfield.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.40 for Swindon, 3.40 for the draw and 2.80 for Grimsby. The bookmakers make Swindon Town favourites, at about 39% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Swindon Town to win, with a 42% chance. The market puts it at 39% and our match model at 46%, and blending those with recent form gives 42%. The best price, 2.40 at WilliamHill, is longer than our fair price of 2.40, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.