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Notts County v Colchester United prediction

Sat 22 Nov, 15:00 League Two Full time 1–3
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Notts County to win 42%
Notts 42% Draw 27% Colchester 31%
Best price2.30 bet365 Fair price2.40 from our 42%

How we got to 42%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 42%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 42%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceNotts County to win 42%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Notts County All games W D W W D
1–0 at BNT 2–2 at SWI 2–0 v CMU 2–1 at CTT 1–1 v HAT
Colchester United All games W W D L W
2–1 at GBT 3–1 v HAT 0–0 at SWI 0–2 v BMY 2–0 at WSL

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes53% Both teams scored in 1 of Notts County's last 2 home games. Both teams scored in 1 of Colchester United's last 3 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerNottsDrawColchester
bet365 2.30 3.20 3.10
WilliamHill 2.25 3.25 3.10
Betfair 2.10 3.25 3.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Notts County v Colchester United: prediction and result

Notts County hosted Colchester United in the League Two on Saturday 22 November, and Colchester United won 1–3 away from home.

Notts County are in strong form: 3 won, 2 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 11 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw at home to Harrogate Town.

Colchester United are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 2–0 win away at Walsall.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.30 for Notts, 3.25 for the draw and 3.10 for Colchester. The bookmakers make Notts County favourites, at about 41% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Notts County to win, with a 42% chance. The market puts it at 42% and our match model at 42%, and blending those with recent form gives 42%. The best price, 2.30 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 2.40. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.