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Norwich City v Oxford United prediction

Tue 25 Nov, 19:45 Championship Full time 1–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Norwich City to win 47%
Norwich 47% Draw 26% Oxford 27%
Best price1.80 WilliamHill Fair price2.12 from our 47%

How we got to 47%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 52%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 40%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceNorwich City to win 47%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Norwich City All games L L D L L
1–2 at SWA 0–2 v HUL 1–1 at SHF 1–2 v LEI 1–4 at BRC
Oxford United All games W D L L D
2–1 at SHF 2–2 v MLW 0–3 v STK 1–2 at WBA 1–1 v MID

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes54% Both teams scored in 1 of Norwich City's last 3 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Oxford United's last 3 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerNorwichDrawOxford
WilliamHill 1.80 3.40 4.33
bet365 1.80 3.60 4.50
Betfair 1.70 3.25 4.25
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Norwich City v Oxford United: prediction and result

Norwich City hosted Oxford United in the Championship on Tuesday 25 November, and it finished 1–1.

Norwich City are short of results: 0 won, 1 drawn and 4 lost from their last 5, 1 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 11 in that run. Their last game was a 1–4 defeat away at Birmingham City.

Oxford United are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw at home to Middlesbrough.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.80 for Norwich, 3.60 for the draw and 4.50 for Oxford. The bookmakers make Norwich City favourites, at about 53% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Norwich City to win, with a 47% chance. The market puts it at 52% and our match model at 40%, and blending those with recent form gives 47%. The best price, 1.80 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.12. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Championship table

More Championship predictions

All Championship picks that week →
1–1 FT Watford v Preston North End Watford to win 49% 0–2 FT Hull City v Ipswich Town Ipswich Town to win 49% 3–0 FT Stoke City v Charlton Athletic Stoke City to win 46% 1–2 FT Swansea City v Derby County Swansea City to win 41% 2–4 FT Middlesbrough v Coventry City Coventry City to win 37% 3–0 FT Southampton v Leicester City Southampton to win 46% 3–0 FT Sheffield United v Portsmouth Sheffield United to win 54% 1–0 FT Millwall v Sheffield Wednesday Millwall to win 53%
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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.