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Millwall v Sheffield Wednesday prediction

Wed 26 Nov, 19:45 Championship Full time 1–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Millwall to win 53%
Millwall 53% Draw 26% Sheffield Wednesday 21%
Best price1.65 bet365 Fair price1.88 from our 53%

How we got to 53%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 57%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 47%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceMillwall to win 53%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Millwall All games W D L D L
1–0 v LEI 2–2 at OXF 0–4 at BRC 1–1 v PNE 1–3 at PTM
Sheffield Wednesday All games L D D L L
1–2 v OXF 0–0 at WBA 1–1 v NOR 1–3 at SOU 0–3 v SHU

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes49% Both teams scored in 1 of Millwall's last 3 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Sheffield Wednesday's last 3 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerMillwallDrawSheffield Wednesday
bet365 1.65 3.75 5.50
WilliamHill 1.62 3.60 5.50
Betfair 1.55 3.50 5.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Millwall v Sheffield Wednesday: prediction and result

Millwall hosted Sheffield Wednesday in the Championship on Wednesday 26 November and won 1–0.

Millwall are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 10 in that run. Their last game was a 1–3 defeat away at Portsmouth.

Sheffield Wednesday are short of results: 0 won, 2 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 2 points from a possible 15. They have scored 3 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 0–3 defeat at home to Sheffield United.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.65 for Millwall, 3.75 for the draw and 5.50 for Sheffield Wednesday. The bookmakers make Millwall favourites, at about 57% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Millwall to win, with a 53% chance. The market puts it at 57% and our match model at 47%, and blending those with recent form gives 53%. The best price, 1.65 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 1.88. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Championship table

More Championship predictions

All Championship picks that week →
1–1 FT Watford v Preston North End Watford to win 49% 0–2 FT Hull City v Ipswich Town Ipswich Town to win 49% 1–1 FT Norwich City v Oxford United Norwich City to win 47% 3–0 FT Stoke City v Charlton Athletic Stoke City to win 46% 1–2 FT Swansea City v Derby County Swansea City to win 41% 2–4 FT Middlesbrough v Coventry City Coventry City to win 37% 3–0 FT Southampton v Leicester City Southampton to win 46% 3–0 FT Sheffield United v Portsmouth Sheffield United to win 54%
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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.