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West Bromwich Albion v Birmingham City prediction

Wed 26 Nov, 20:00 Championship Full time 1–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
West Bromwich Albion to win 40%
West Bromwich 40% Draw 29% Birmingham 32%
Best price2.88 WilliamHill Fair price2.53 from our 40%
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 33%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 49%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceWest Bromwich Albion to win 40%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
West Bromwich Albion All games L D L W L
0–1 at IPS 0–0 v SHF 0–1 at CHA 2–1 v OXF 2–3 at CVC
Birmingham City All games L W W L W
0–1 at BSC 4–0 v PTM 4–0 v MLW 1–2 at MID 4–1 v NOR

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes48% Both teams scored in 2 of West Bromwich Albion's last 3 home games. Both teams scored in 1 of Birmingham City's last 3 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerWest BromwichDrawBirmingham
WilliamHill 2.88 3.00 2.50
bet365 2.80 3.10 2.55
Betfair 2.60 2.90 2.50
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

West Bromwich Albion v Birmingham City: prediction and result

West Bromwich Albion hosted Birmingham City in the Championship on Wednesday 26 November, and it finished 1–1.

West Bromwich Albion are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 2–3 defeat away at Coventry City.

Birmingham City are in decent form: 3 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 13 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 4–1 win at home to Norwich City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.88 for West Bromwich, 3.10 for the draw and 2.55 for Birmingham. The bookmakers see little between Birmingham City and West Bromwich Albion here.

Our prediction: West Bromwich Albion to win, with a 40% chance. The market puts it at 33% and our match model at 49%, and blending those with recent form gives 40%. The best price, 2.88 at WilliamHill, is longer than our fair price of 2.53, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.