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Birmingham City v Watford prediction

Mon 1 Dec, 20:00 Championship Full time 2–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Birmingham City to win 58%
Birmingham 58% Draw 24% Watford 18%
Best price1.85 WilliamHill Fair price1.72 from our 58%
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 52%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 67%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBirmingham City to win 58%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Birmingham City All games W W L W D
4–0 v PTM 4–0 v MLW 1–2 at MID 4–1 v NOR 1–1 at WBA
Watford All games W D D W D
3–0 v MID 1–1 at IPS 1–1 v BSC 3–2 at DRB 1–1 v PNE

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes49% Both teams scored in 2 of Birmingham City's last 4 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Watford's last 4 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBirminghamDrawWatford
WilliamHill 1.85 3.40 4.00
bet365 1.75 3.70 4.50
Betfair 1.70 3.50 4.60
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Birmingham City v Watford: prediction and result

Birmingham City hosted Watford in the Championship on Monday 1 December and won 2–1.

Birmingham City are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 14 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at West Bromwich Albion.

Watford are in decent form: 2 won, 3 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw at home to Preston North End.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.85 for Birmingham, 3.70 for the draw and 4.60 for Watford. The bookmakers make Birmingham City favourites, at about 53% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Birmingham City to win, with a 58% chance. The market puts it at 52% and our match model at 67%, and blending those with recent form gives 58%. The best price, 1.85 at WilliamHill, is longer than our fair price of 1.72, so there is value in it. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Championship table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.