How we got to 58%
Three sources, blended. How it works →Form
Last 5, oldest first
Birmingham City
All games
W
W
L
W
D
Watford
All games
W
D
D
W
D
Both teams to score
Revealed after full timeMatch result odds
GB-licensed bookmakersBirmingham City v Watford: prediction and result
Birmingham City hosted Watford in the Championship on Monday 1 December and won 2–1.
Birmingham City are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 14 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at West Bromwich Albion.
Watford are in decent form: 2 won, 3 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw at home to Preston North End.
The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.85 for Birmingham, 3.70 for the draw and 4.60 for Watford. The bookmakers make Birmingham City favourites, at about 53% once the margin is taken out.
Our prediction: Birmingham City to win, with a 58% chance. The market puts it at 52% and our match model at 67%, and blending those with recent form gives 58%. The best price, 1.85 at WilliamHill, is longer than our fair price of 1.72, so there is value in it. The pick won.
More Championship predictions
All Championship picks that week →Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.