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Middlesbrough v Queens Park Rangers prediction

Sat 13 Dec, 15:00 Championship Full time 3–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Middlesbrough to win 49%
Middlesbrough 49% Draw 25% QPR 26%
Best price1.91 WilliamHill Fair price2.02 from our 49%

How we got to 49%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 50%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 48%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceMiddlesbrough to win 49%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Middlesbrough All games D L W W W
1–1 at OXF 2–4 v CVC 2–1 v DRB 4–1 at HUL 2–1 at CHA
Queens Park Rangers All games W W L W W
3–2 v HUL 1–0 at BBR 1–3 at NOR 3–1 v WBA 2–1 v BRC

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes55% Both teams scored in 5 of Middlesbrough's last 5 home games. Both teams scored in 1 of Queens Park Rangers's last 5 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerMiddlesbroughDrawQPR
WilliamHill 1.91 3.50 3.80
bet365 1.85 3.70 3.90
Betfair 1.80 3.60 4.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Middlesbrough v Queens Park Rangers: prediction and result

Middlesbrough hosted Queens Park Rangers in the Championship on Saturday 13 December and won 3–1.

Middlesbrough are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 11 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win away at Charlton Athletic.

Queens Park Rangers are in strong form: 4 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 12 points from a possible 15. They have scored 10 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win at home to Birmingham City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.91 for Middlesbrough, 3.70 for the draw and 4.00 for QPR. The bookmakers make Middlesbrough favourites, at about 50% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Middlesbrough to win, with a 49% chance. The market puts it at 50% and our match model at 48%, and blending those with recent form gives 49%. The best price, 1.91 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.02. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Championship table

More Championship predictions

All Championship picks that week →
1–1 FT Watford v Sheffield Wednesday Watford to win 58% 1–1 FT Sheffield United v Norwich City Sheffield United to win 56% 3–2 FT Southampton v West Bromwich Albion Southampton to win 50% 1–1 FT Blackburn Rovers v Oxford United Blackburn Rovers to win 49% 1–0 FT Swansea City v Portsmouth Swansea City to win 49% 1–1 FT Preston North End v Coventry City Coventry City to win 45% 1–2 FT Charlton Athletic v Middlesbrough Middlesbrough to win 38% 2–1 FT Queens Park Rangers v Birmingham City Birmingham City to win 38%
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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.