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Norwich City v Southampton prediction

Sat 13 Dec, 12:30 Championship Full time 2–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Southampton to win 45%
Norwich 31% Draw 24% Southampton 45%
Best price2.00 WilliamHill Fair price2.24 from our 45%

How we got to 45%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 48%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 40%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceSouthampton to win 45%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Norwich City All games L D W L D
1–4 at BRC 1–1 v OXF 3–1 v QPR 2–3 at WAT 1–1 at SHU
Southampton All games W W L W W
5–1 at CHA 3–0 v LEI 2–3 at MLW 3–1 v BRC 3–2 v WBA

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes63% Both teams scored in 3 of Norwich City's last 5 home games. Both teams scored in 5 of Southampton's last 5 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerNorwichDrawSouthampton
Betfair 3.50 3.50 1.91
WilliamHill 3.40 3.70 2.00
bet365 3.30 3.90 1.95
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Norwich City v Southampton: prediction and result

Norwich City hosted Southampton in the Championship on Saturday 13 December and won 2–1.

Norwich City are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 10 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at Sheffield United.

Southampton are in strong form: 4 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 12 points from a possible 15. They have scored 16 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 3–2 win at home to West Bromwich Albion.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.50 for Norwich, 3.90 for the draw and 2.00 for Southampton. The bookmakers make Southampton favourites, at about 48% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Southampton to win, with a 45% chance. The market puts it at 48% and our match model at 40%, and blending those with recent form gives 45%. The best price, 2.00 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.24. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Championship table

More Championship predictions

All Championship picks that week →
1–1 FT Watford v Sheffield Wednesday Watford to win 58% 1–1 FT Sheffield United v Norwich City Sheffield United to win 56% 3–2 FT Southampton v West Bromwich Albion Southampton to win 50% 1–1 FT Blackburn Rovers v Oxford United Blackburn Rovers to win 49% 1–0 FT Swansea City v Portsmouth Swansea City to win 49% 1–1 FT Preston North End v Coventry City Coventry City to win 45% 1–2 FT Charlton Athletic v Middlesbrough Middlesbrough to win 38% 2–1 FT Queens Park Rangers v Birmingham City Birmingham City to win 38%
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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.