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Sheffield Wednesday v Derby County prediction

Mon 15 Dec, 20:00 Championship Full time 0–3
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Derby County to win 45%
Sheffield Wednesday 28% Draw 27% Derby 45%
Best price2.10 WilliamHill Fair price2.22 from our 45%

How we got to 45%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 45%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 45%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceDerby County to win 45%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Sheffield Wednesday All games L L L L D
1–3 at SOU 0–3 v SHU 0–1 at MLW 2–3 v PNE 1–1 at WAT
Derby County All games L W L L D
2–3 v WAT 2–1 at SWA 1–2 at MID 1–3 v LEI 1–1 v MLW

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes51% Both teams scored in 3 of Sheffield Wednesday's last 5 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Derby County's last 5 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerSheffield WednesdayDrawDerby
bet365 3.60 3.25 2.05
WilliamHill 3.50 3.20 2.10
Betfair 3.50 3.30 2.10
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Sheffield Wednesday v Derby County: prediction and result

Sheffield Wednesday hosted Derby County in the Championship on Monday 15 December, and Derby County won 0–3 away from home.

Sheffield Wednesday are short of results: 0 won, 1 drawn and 4 lost from their last 5, 1 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 11 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at Watford.

Derby County are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 10 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw at home to Millwall.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.60 for Sheffield Wednesday, 3.30 for the draw and 2.10 for Derby. The bookmakers make Derby County favourites, at about 45% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Derby County to win, with a 45% chance. The market puts it at 45% and our match model at 45%, and blending those with recent form gives 45%. The best price, 2.10 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.22. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Championship table

More Championship predictions

All Championship picks that week →
1–1 FT Watford v Sheffield Wednesday Watford to win 58% 1–1 FT Sheffield United v Norwich City Sheffield United to win 56% 3–2 FT Southampton v West Bromwich Albion Southampton to win 50% 1–1 FT Blackburn Rovers v Oxford United Blackburn Rovers to win 49% 1–0 FT Swansea City v Portsmouth Swansea City to win 49% 1–1 FT Preston North End v Coventry City Coventry City to win 45% 1–2 FT Charlton Athletic v Middlesbrough Middlesbrough to win 38% 2–1 FT Queens Park Rangers v Birmingham City Birmingham City to win 38%
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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.