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Derby County v Portsmouth prediction

Sat 20 Dec, 15:00 Championship Full time 1–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Derby County to win 47%
Derby 47% Draw 28% Portsmouth 25%
Best price1.95 WilliamHill Fair price2.11 from our 47%

How we got to 47%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 48%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 47%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceDerby County to win 47%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Derby County All games W L L D W
2–1 at SWA 1–2 at MID 1–3 v LEI 1–1 v MLW 3–0 at SHF
Portsmouth All games W L L L W
3–1 v MLW 0–3 at SHU 0–1 v BSC 0–1 at SWA 2–1 v BBR

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes48% Both teams scored in 4 of Derby County's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Portsmouth's last 5 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerDerbyDrawPortsmouth
WilliamHill 1.95 3.25 4.00
Betfair 1.95 3.20 3.90
bet365 1.95 3.40 4.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Derby County v Portsmouth: prediction and result

Derby County hosted Portsmouth in the Championship on Saturday 20 December, and it finished 1–1.

Derby County are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 3–0 win away at Sheffield Wednesday.

Portsmouth are in mixed form: 2 won, 0 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win at home to Blackburn Rovers.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.95 for Derby, 3.40 for the draw and 4.00 for Portsmouth. The bookmakers make Derby County favourites, at about 49% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Derby County to win, with a 47% chance. The market puts it at 48% and our match model at 47%, and blending those with recent form gives 47%. The best price, 1.95 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.11. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Championship table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.