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Watford v Stoke City prediction

Sat 20 Dec, 15:00 Championship Full time 1–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Watford to win 50%
Watford 50% Draw 26% Stoke 24%
Best price2.00 WilliamHill Fair price2.00 from our 50%
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 47%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 55%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceWatford to win 50%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Watford All games D L W D D
1–1 v PNE 1–2 at BRC 3–2 v NOR 1–1 v SHF 2–2 at WXH
Stoke City All games W L L L W
3–0 v CHA 1–2 v HUL 0–4 at SHU 0–1 at IPS 2–1 v SWA

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes51% Both teams scored in 5 of Watford's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 1 of Stoke City's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerWatfordDrawStoke
WilliamHill 2.00 3.25 3.75
bet365 2.00 3.30 3.90
Betfair 1.95 3.30 3.60
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Watford v Stoke City: prediction and result

Watford hosted Stoke City in the Championship on Saturday 20 December and won 1–0.

Watford are in mixed form: 1 won, 3 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 2–2 draw away at Wrexham.

Stoke City are in mixed form: 2 won, 0 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win at home to Swansea City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.00 for Watford, 3.30 for the draw and 3.90 for Stoke. The bookmakers make Watford favourites, at about 47% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Watford to win, with a 50% chance. The market puts it at 47% and our match model at 55%, and blending those with recent form gives 50%. The best price, 2.00 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.00. The pick won.

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.