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Southampton v Coventry City prediction

Sat 20 Dec, 12:30 Championship Full time 1–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Southampton to win 40%
Southampton 40% Draw 25% Coventry 35%
Best price2.30 bet365 Fair price2.50 from our 40%

How we got to 40%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 41%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 38%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceSouthampton to win 40%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Southampton All games W L W W L
3–0 v LEI 2–3 at MLW 3–1 v BRC 3–2 v WBA 1–2 at NOR
Coventry City All games W W L D W
4–2 at MID 3–1 v CHA 0–3 at IPS 1–1 at PNE 1–0 v BSC

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes61% Both teams scored in 3 of Southampton's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Coventry City's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerSouthamptonDrawCoventry
bet365 2.30 3.75 2.87
WilliamHill 2.25 3.60 2.80
Betfair 2.25 3.70 2.70
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Southampton v Coventry City: prediction and result

Southampton hosted Coventry City in the Championship on Saturday 20 December, and it finished 1–1.

Southampton are in decent form: 3 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 12 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat away at Norwich City.

Coventry City are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win at home to Bristol City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.30 for Southampton, 3.75 for the draw and 2.87 for Coventry. The bookmakers make Southampton favourites, at about 41% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Southampton to win, with a 40% chance. The market puts it at 41% and our match model at 38%, and blending those with recent form gives 40%. The best price, 2.30 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 2.50. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Championship table

More Championship predictions

All Championship picks that week →
2–1 FT Swansea City v Wrexham Swansea City to win 41% 1–1 FT Preston North End v Norwich City Preston North End to win 43% 2–0 FT Blackburn Rovers v Millwall Blackburn Rovers to win 38% 3–1 FT Ipswich Town v Sheffield Wednesday Ipswich Town to win 72% 1–0 FT Watford v Stoke City Watford to win 50% 1–0 FT Charlton Athletic v Oxford United Charlton Athletic to win 48% 1–1 FT Derby County v Portsmouth Derby County to win 47% 3–0 FT Sheffield United v Birmingham City Sheffield United to win 44%
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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.