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Accrington Stanley v Barrow prediction

Fri 26 Dec, 15:00 League Two Full time 2–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Accrington Stanley to win 41%
Accrington 41% Draw 30% Barrow 29%
Best price2.20 WilliamHill Fair price2.43 from our 41%

How we got to 41%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 43%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 38%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceAccrington Stanley to win 41%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Accrington Stanley All games D W W L L
1–1 at CRT 1–0 v OAT 2–0 at HAT 0–1 v BMY 0–2 at CMU
Barrow All games L D L D L
0–2 v CMU 2–2 at NPT 0–3 v TRR 2–2 at GLG 1–2 v CTT

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes49% Both teams scored in 2 of Accrington Stanley's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Barrow's last 5 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerAccringtonDrawBarrow
WilliamHill 2.20 3.10 3.30
bet365 2.15 3.20 3.40
Betfair 2.10 3.10 3.50
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Accrington Stanley v Barrow: prediction and result

Accrington Stanley hosted Barrow in the League Two on Friday 26 December and won 2–1.

Accrington Stanley are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 0–2 defeat away at Cambridge United.

Barrow are short of results: 0 won, 2 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 2 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 11 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat at home to Cheltenham Town.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.20 for Accrington, 3.20 for the draw and 3.50 for Barrow. The bookmakers make Accrington Stanley favourites, at about 43% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Accrington Stanley to win, with a 41% chance. The market puts it at 43% and our match model at 38%, and blending those with recent form gives 41%. The best price, 2.20 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.43. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.