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Crawley Town v Colchester United prediction

Fri 26 Dec, 15:00 League Two Full time 1–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Colchester United to win 40%
Crawley 33% Draw 26% Colchester 40%
Best price2.30 Betfair Fair price2.47 from our 40%

How we got to 40%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 41%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 40%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceColchester United to win 40%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Crawley Town All games D L L D L
1–1 v ACC 3–4 at SAL 1–3 at BMY 2–2 v OAT 0–1 at SWI
Colchester United All games W W D L W
3–1 at NOT 2–0 v CTT 0–0 v GLG 3–4 at SAL 4–1 v NPT

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes57% Both teams scored in 4 of Crawley Town's last 5 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Colchester United's last 5 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerCrawleyDrawColchester
bet365 2.90 3.50 2.25
WilliamHill 2.90 3.40 2.25
Betfair 2.90 3.50 2.30
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Crawley Town v Colchester United: prediction and result

Crawley Town hosted Colchester United in the League Two on Friday 26 December, and it finished 1–1.

Crawley Town are short of results: 0 won, 2 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 2 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 11 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat away at Swindon Town.

Colchester United are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 12 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 4–1 win at home to Newport County.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.90 for Crawley, 3.50 for the draw and 2.30 for Colchester. The bookmakers make Colchester United favourites, at about 41% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Colchester United to win, with a 40% chance. The market puts it at 41% and our match model at 40%, and blending those with recent form gives 40%. The best price, 2.30 at Betfair, is shorter than our fair price of 2.47. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.