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Walsall v Crewe Alexandra prediction

Fri 26 Dec, 15:00 League Two Full time 1–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Walsall to win 46%
Walsall 46% Draw 27% Crewe 28%
Best price2.05 bet365 Fair price2.20 from our 46%

How we got to 46%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 46%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 45%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceWalsall to win 46%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Walsall All games W W W D D
2–0 at HAT 3–1 v BMY 1–0 at OAT 1–1 v SHT 0–0 at NOT
Crewe Alexandra All games D L D W D
3–3 v CST 1–2 at CMU 2–2 v NPT 4–1 at TRR 1–1 v BRR

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes54% Both teams scored in 3 of Walsall's last 4 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Crewe Alexandra's last 5 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerWalsallDrawCrewe
bet365 2.05 3.40 3.50
WilliamHill 2.05 3.30 3.40
Betfair 2.00 3.40 3.60
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Walsall v Crewe Alexandra: prediction and result

Walsall hosted Crewe Alexandra in the League Two on Friday 26 December and won 1–0.

Walsall are in strong form: 3 won, 2 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 11 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 2 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw away at Notts County.

Crewe Alexandra are in mixed form: 1 won, 3 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 11 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw at home to Bristol Rovers.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.05 for Walsall, 3.40 for the draw and 3.60 for Crewe. The bookmakers make Walsall favourites, at about 46% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Walsall to win, with a 46% chance. The market puts it at 46% and our match model at 45%, and blending those with recent form gives 46%. The best price, 2.05 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 2.20. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.