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Burton Albion v Northampton Town prediction

Fri 26 Dec, 15:00 League One Full time 5–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Burton Albion to win 41%
Burton 41% Draw 28% Northampton 31%
Best price2.25 Betfair Fair price2.45 from our 41%
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 42%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 39%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBurton Albion to win 41%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Burton Albion All games W L L D D
1–0 v BLK 0–4 v LEY 0–1 at WIG 0–0 v WYC 2–2 at STV
Northampton Town All games L W D L W
1–3 v CDF 3–0 at PLA 1–1 v HDD 1–2 at PTU 3–1 v AWM

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes51% Both teams scored in 0 of Burton Albion's last 5 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Northampton Town's last 4 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBurtonDrawNorthampton
Betfair 2.25 3.30 3.20
WilliamHill 2.20 3.25 3.20
bet365 2.20 3.25 3.25
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Burton Albion v Northampton Town: prediction and result

Burton Albion hosted Northampton Town in the League One on Friday 26 December and won 5–1.

Burton Albion are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 3 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 2–2 draw away at Stevenage.

Northampton Town are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 3–1 win at home to AFC Wimbledon.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.25 for Burton, 3.30 for the draw and 3.25 for Northampton. The bookmakers make Burton Albion favourites, at about 42% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Burton Albion to win, with a 41% chance. The market puts it at 42% and our match model at 39%, and blending those with recent form gives 41%. The best price, 2.25 at Betfair, is shorter than our fair price of 2.45. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.