How we got to 41%
Three sources, blended. How it works →Form
Last 5, oldest first
Burton Albion
All games
W
L
L
D
D
Northampton Town
All games
L
W
D
L
W
Both teams to score
Revealed after full timeMatch result odds
GB-licensed bookmakersBurton Albion v Northampton Town: prediction and result
Burton Albion hosted Northampton Town in the League One on Friday 26 December and won 5–1.
Burton Albion are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 3 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 2–2 draw away at Stevenage.
Northampton Town are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 3–1 win at home to AFC Wimbledon.
The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.25 for Burton, 3.30 for the draw and 3.25 for Northampton. The bookmakers make Burton Albion favourites, at about 42% once the margin is taken out.
Our prediction: Burton Albion to win, with a 41% chance. The market puts it at 42% and our match model at 39%, and blending those with recent form gives 41%. The best price, 2.25 at Betfair, is shorter than our fair price of 2.45. The pick won.
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