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Luton Town v Wycombe Wanderers prediction

Fri 26 Dec, 15:00 League One Full time 4–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Luton Town to win 43%
Luton 43% Draw 29% Wycombe 29%
Best price2.30 WilliamHill Fair price2.34 from our 43%

How we got to 43%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 41%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 45%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceLuton Town to win 43%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Luton Town All games W D D D L
2–1 v HDD 1–1 v BOL 1–1 at LEY 2–2 v PTV 2–3 at RDG
Wycombe Wanderers All games W D L D W
3–2 v LNC 1–1 at RTU 0–1 v PLA 0–0 at BRA 2–1 v BOL

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes47% Both teams scored in 3 of Luton Town's last 5 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Wycombe Wanderers's last 5 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerLutonDrawWycombe
WilliamHill 2.30 3.00 3.10
Betfair 2.30 3.20 3.25
bet365 2.25 3.20 3.25
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Luton Town v Wycombe Wanderers: prediction and result

Luton Town hosted Wycombe Wanderers in the League One on Friday 26 December and won 4–0.

Luton Town are in mixed form: 1 won, 3 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 2–3 defeat away at Reading.

Wycombe Wanderers are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win at home to Bolton Wanderers.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.30 for Luton, 3.20 for the draw and 3.25 for Wycombe. The bookmakers make Luton Town favourites, at about 41% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Luton Town to win, with a 43% chance. The market puts it at 41% and our match model at 45%, and blending those with recent form gives 43%. The best price, 2.30 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.34. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.