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Cardiff City v Exeter City prediction

Fri 26 Dec, 15:00 League One Full time 1–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Cardiff City to win 58%
Cardiff 58% Draw 22% Exeter 20%
Best price1.57 WilliamHill Fair price1.73 from our 58%

How we got to 58%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 60%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 55%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceCardiff City to win 58%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Cardiff City All games W W W W L
3–0 v MAN 3–2 v HDD 1–0 at STV 4–3 v DNR 1–2 at LNC
Exeter City All games L L W L W
1–2 at LEY 0–1 at BDC 1–0 v AWM 1–2 at BOL 3–0 v BRS

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes57% Both teams scored in 3 of Cardiff City's last 4 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Exeter City's last 4 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerCardiffDrawExeter
WilliamHill 1.57 4.00 5.00
bet365 1.55 4.00 5.50
Betfair 1.50 4.20 5.50
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Cardiff City v Exeter City: prediction and result

Cardiff City hosted Exeter City in the League One on Friday 26 December and won 1–0.

Cardiff City are in strong form: 4 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 12 points from a possible 15. They have scored 12 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat away at Lincoln City.

Exeter City are in mixed form: 2 won, 0 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 3–0 win at home to Barnsley.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.57 for Cardiff, 4.20 for the draw and 5.50 for Exeter. The bookmakers make Cardiff City favourites, at about 60% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Cardiff City to win, with a 58% chance. The market puts it at 60% and our match model at 55%, and blending those with recent form gives 58%. The best price, 1.57 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.73. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.