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Leicester City v Watford prediction

Fri 26 Dec, 15:00 Championship Full time 1–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Leicester City to win 45%
Leicester 45% Draw 27% Watford 29%
Best price2.25 WilliamHill Fair price2.25 from our 45%

How we got to 45%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 42%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 49%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceLeicester City to win 45%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Leicester City All games L W D W L
2–3 v SHU 3–1 at DRB 2–2 at BSC 3–1 v IPS 1–4 at QPR
Watford All games L W D D W
1–2 at BRC 3–2 v NOR 1–1 v SHF 2–2 at WXH 1–0 v STK

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes60% Both teams scored in 5 of Leicester City's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 5 of Watford's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerLeicesterDrawWatford
WilliamHill 2.25 3.30 3.00
Betfair 2.25 3.40 3.10
bet365 2.25 3.50 3.10
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Leicester City v Watford: prediction and result

Leicester City hosted Watford in the Championship on Friday 26 December, and Watford won 1–2 away from home.

Leicester City are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 11 and conceded 11 in that run. Their last game was a 1–4 defeat away at Queens Park Rangers.

Watford are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win at home to Stoke City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.25 for Leicester, 3.50 for the draw and 3.10 for Watford. The bookmakers make Leicester City favourites, at about 42% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Leicester City to win, with a 45% chance. The market puts it at 42% and our match model at 49%, and blending those with recent form gives 45%. The best price, 2.25 at WilliamHill, is longer than our fair price of 2.25, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Championship table

More Championship predictions

All Championship picks that week →
1–1 FT Birmingham City v Derby County Birmingham City to win 54% 0–0 FT Millwall v Ipswich Town Ipswich Town to win 43% 1–0 FT Coventry City v Swansea City Coventry City to win 61% 0–0 FT Middlesbrough v Blackburn Rovers Middlesbrough to win 52% 2–2 FT Sheffield Wednesday v Hull City Hull City to win 52% 1–2 FT West Bromwich Albion v Bristol City West Bromwich Albion to win 49% 2–1 FT Oxford United v Southampton Southampton to win 48% 1–0 FT Norwich City v Charlton Athletic Norwich City to win 46%
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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.