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Oxford United v Southampton prediction

Fri 26 Dec, 15:00 Championship Full time 2–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Southampton to win 48%
Oxford 27% Draw 24% Southampton 48%
Best price1.87 Betfair Fair price2.06 from our 48%

How we got to 48%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 51%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 45%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceSouthampton to win 48%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Oxford United All games W L D L L
2–1 v IPS 0–2 at SWA 1–1 at BBR 1–2 v PNE 0–1 at CHA
Southampton All games L W W L D
2–3 at MLW 3–1 v BRC 3–2 v WBA 1–2 at NOR 1–1 v CVC

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes61% Both teams scored in 4 of Oxford United's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 6 of Southampton's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerOxfordDrawSouthampton
Betfair 3.90 3.80 1.87
bet365 3.80 3.75 1.85
WilliamHill 3.75 3.75 1.85
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Oxford United v Southampton: prediction and result

Oxford United hosted Southampton in the Championship on Friday 26 December and won 2–1.

Oxford United are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat away at Charlton Athletic.

Southampton are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 10 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw at home to Coventry City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.90 for Oxford, 3.80 for the draw and 1.87 for Southampton. The bookmakers make Southampton favourites, at about 51% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Southampton to win, with a 48% chance. The market puts it at 51% and our match model at 45%, and blending those with recent form gives 48%. The best price, 1.87 at Betfair, is shorter than our fair price of 2.06. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Championship table

More Championship predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.