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Portsmouth v Queens Park Rangers prediction

Fri 26 Dec, 15:00 Championship Full time 1–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Queens Park Rangers to win 37%
Portsmouth 36% Draw 27% QPR 37%
Best price2.30 WilliamHill Fair price2.70 from our 37%

How we got to 37%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 41%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 30%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceQueens Park Rangers to win 37%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Portsmouth All games L L L W D
0–3 at SHU 0–1 v BSC 0–1 at SWA 2–1 v BBR 1–1 at DRB
Queens Park Rangers All games L W W L W
1–3 at NOR 3–1 v WBA 2–1 v BRC 1–3 at MID 4–1 v LEI

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes51% Both teams scored in 3 of Portsmouth's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Queens Park Rangers's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerPortsmouthDrawQPR
WilliamHill 3.10 3.20 2.30
bet365 3.10 3.40 2.25
Betfair 3.00 3.30 2.20
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Portsmouth v Queens Park Rangers: prediction and result

Portsmouth hosted Queens Park Rangers in the Championship on Friday 26 December, and it finished 1–1.

Portsmouth are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 3 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at Derby County.

Queens Park Rangers are in decent form: 3 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 11 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 4–1 win at home to Leicester City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.10 for Portsmouth, 3.40 for the draw and 2.30 for QPR. The bookmakers make Queens Park Rangers favourites, at about 41% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Queens Park Rangers to win, with a 37% chance. The market puts it at 41% and our match model at 30%, and blending those with recent form gives 37%. The best price, 2.30 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.70. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Championship table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.