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Norwich City v Watford prediction

Mon 29 Dec, 19:45 Championship Full time 0–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Norwich City to win 40%
Norwich 40% Draw 28% Watford 33%
Best price2.63 Betfair Fair price2.53 from our 40%

How we got to 40%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 36%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 45%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceNorwich City to win 40%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Norwich City All games L D W D W
2–3 at WAT 1–1 at SHU 2–1 v SOU 1–1 at PNE 1–0 v CHA
Watford All games W D D W W
3–2 v NOR 1–1 v SHF 2–2 at WXH 1–0 v STK 2–1 at LEI

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes62% Both teams scored in 4 of Norwich City's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 6 of Watford's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerNorwichDrawWatford
Betfair 2.63 3.40 2.63
WilliamHill 2.62 3.10 2.62
bet365 2.55 3.20 2.75
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Norwich City v Watford: prediction and result

Norwich City hosted Watford in the Championship on Monday 29 December, and Watford won 0–1 away from home.

Norwich City are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win at home to Charlton Athletic.

Watford are in strong form: 3 won, 2 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 11 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win away at Leicester City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.63 for Norwich, 3.40 for the draw and 2.75 for Watford. The bookmakers see little between Norwich City and Watford here.

Our prediction: Norwich City to win, with a 40% chance. The market puts it at 36% and our match model at 45%, and blending those with recent form gives 40%. The best price, 2.63 at Betfair, is longer than our fair price of 2.53, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Championship table

More Championship predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.