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Oxford United v Swansea City prediction

Mon 29 Dec, 19:45 Championship Full time 0–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Oxford United to win 36%
Oxford 36% Draw 28% Swansea 36%
Best price2.63 Betfair Fair price2.75 from our 36%

How we got to 36%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 36%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 37%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceOxford United to win 36%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Oxford United All games L D L L W
0–2 at SWA 1–1 at BBR 1–2 v PNE 0–1 at CHA 2–1 v SOU
Swansea City All games W W L W L
2–0 v OXF 1–0 v PTM 1–2 at STK 2–1 v WXH 0–1 at CVC

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes56% Both teams scored in 5 of Oxford United's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Swansea City's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerOxfordDrawSwansea
Betfair 2.63 3.20 2.80
WilliamHill 2.62 3.00 2.62
bet365 2.62 3.20 2.70
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Oxford United v Swansea City: prediction and result

Oxford United hosted Swansea City in the Championship on Monday 29 December, and Swansea City won 0–1 away from home.

Oxford United are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win at home to Southampton.

Swansea City are in decent form: 3 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat away at Coventry City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.63 for Oxford, 3.20 for the draw and 2.80 for Swansea. The bookmakers see little between Oxford United and Swansea City here.

Our prediction: Oxford United to win, with a 36% chance. The market puts it at 36% and our match model at 37%, and blending those with recent form gives 36%. The best price, 2.63 at Betfair, is shorter than our fair price of 2.75. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Championship table

More Championship predictions

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1–1 FT Birmingham City v Derby County Birmingham City to win 54% 0–0 FT Millwall v Ipswich Town Ipswich Town to win 43% 1–0 FT Coventry City v Swansea City Coventry City to win 61% 0–0 FT Middlesbrough v Blackburn Rovers Middlesbrough to win 52% 2–2 FT Sheffield Wednesday v Hull City Hull City to win 52% 1–2 FT West Bromwich Albion v Bristol City West Bromwich Albion to win 49% 2–1 FT Oxford United v Southampton Southampton to win 48% 1–0 FT Norwich City v Charlton Athletic Norwich City to win 46%
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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.