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Portsmouth v Charlton Athletic prediction

Mon 29 Dec, 19:45 Championship Full time 2–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Portsmouth to win 41%
Portsmouth 41% Draw 29% Charlton 29%
Best price2.45 WilliamHill Fair price2.42 from our 41%

How we got to 41%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 38%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 46%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chancePortsmouth to win 41%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Portsmouth All games L L W D D
0–1 v BSC 0–1 at SWA 2–1 v BBR 1–1 at DRB 1–1 v QPR
Charlton Athletic All games L L D W L
1–3 at CVC 1–2 v MID 1–1 at BRC 1–0 v OXF 0–1 at NOR

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes47% Both teams scored in 3 of Portsmouth's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Charlton Athletic's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerPortsmouthDrawCharlton
WilliamHill 2.45 2.90 3.00
Betfair 2.45 3.10 3.10
bet365 2.37 2.87 2.90
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Portsmouth v Charlton Athletic: prediction and result

Portsmouth hosted Charlton Athletic in the Championship on Monday 29 December and won 2–1.

Portsmouth are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw at home to Queens Park Rangers.

Charlton Athletic are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat away at Norwich City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.45 for Portsmouth, 3.10 for the draw and 3.10 for Charlton. The bookmakers make Portsmouth favourites, at about 39% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Portsmouth to win, with a 41% chance. The market puts it at 38% and our match model at 46%, and blending those with recent form gives 41%. The best price, 2.45 at WilliamHill, is longer than our fair price of 2.42, so there is value in it. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Championship table

More Championship predictions

All Championship picks that week →
1–1 FT Birmingham City v Derby County Birmingham City to win 54% 0–0 FT Millwall v Ipswich Town Ipswich Town to win 43% 1–0 FT Coventry City v Swansea City Coventry City to win 61% 0–0 FT Middlesbrough v Blackburn Rovers Middlesbrough to win 52% 2–2 FT Sheffield Wednesday v Hull City Hull City to win 52% 1–2 FT West Bromwich Albion v Bristol City West Bromwich Albion to win 49% 2–1 FT Oxford United v Southampton Southampton to win 48% 1–0 FT Norwich City v Charlton Athletic Norwich City to win 46%
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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.