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Hull City v Stoke City prediction

Thu 1 Jan, 15:00 Championship Full time 0–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Hull City to win 43%
Hull 43% Draw 28% Stoke 29%
Best price2.25 WilliamHill Fair price2.33 from our 43%

How we got to 43%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 42%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 45%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceHull City to win 43%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Hull City All games W W W D W
2–0 v WXH 3–1 at MLW 1–0 v WBA 2–2 at SHF 1–0 at MID
Stoke City All games L W L D L
0–1 at IPS 2–1 v SWA 0–1 at WAT 0–0 v PNE 1–2 v SHU

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes48% Both teams scored in 3 of Hull City's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 1 of Stoke City's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerHullDrawStoke
WilliamHill 2.25 3.20 3.10
bet365 2.25 3.20 3.25
Betfair 2.20 3.20 3.20
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Hull City v Stoke City: prediction and result

Hull City hosted Stoke City in the Championship on Thursday 1 January, and Stoke City won 0–1 away from home.

Hull City are in strong form: 4 won, 1 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 13 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win away at Middlesbrough.

Stoke City are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 3 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat at home to Sheffield United.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.25 for Hull, 3.20 for the draw and 3.25 for Stoke. The bookmakers make Hull City favourites, at about 42% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Hull City to win, with a 43% chance. The market puts it at 42% and our match model at 45%, and blending those with recent form gives 43%. The best price, 2.25 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.33. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Championship table

More Championship predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.