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Southampton v Millwall prediction

Thu 1 Jan, 15:00 Championship Full time 0–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Southampton to win 47%
Southampton 47% Draw 26% Millwall 27%
Best price1.91 WilliamHill Fair price2.13 from our 47%

How we got to 47%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 49%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 44%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceSouthampton to win 47%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Southampton All games W L D L D
3–2 v WBA 1–2 at NOR 1–1 v CVC 1–2 at OXF 1–1 at BRC
Millwall All games D L L D W
1–1 at DRB 1–3 v HUL 0–2 at BBR 0–0 v IPS 2–1 v BSC

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes56% Both teams scored in 4 of Southampton's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Millwall's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerSouthamptonDrawMillwall
WilliamHill 1.91 3.40 3.80
bet365 1.90 3.50 4.00
Betfair 1.87 3.50 3.90
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Southampton v Millwall: prediction and result

Southampton hosted Millwall in the Championship on Thursday 1 January, and it finished 0–0.

Southampton are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at Birmingham City.

Millwall are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win at home to Bristol City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.91 for Southampton, 3.50 for the draw and 4.00 for Millwall. The bookmakers make Southampton favourites, at about 49% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Southampton to win, with a 47% chance. The market puts it at 49% and our match model at 44%, and blending those with recent form gives 47%. The best price, 1.91 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.13. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Championship table

More Championship predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.