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West Bromwich Albion v Middlesbrough prediction

Fri 16 Jan, 20:00 Championship Full time 2–3
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
West Bromwich Albion to win 42%
West Bromwich 42% Draw 27% Middlesbrough 31%
Best price2.45 WilliamHill Fair price2.39 from our 42%

How we got to 42%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 38%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 47%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceWest Bromwich Albion to win 42%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
West Bromwich Albion All games L L W L L
0–1 at HUL 1–2 v BSC 2–1 v QPR 0–1 at SWA 1–2 at LEI
Middlesbrough All games L D L L W
0–2 at BSC 0–0 v BBR 0–1 v HUL 0–1 at DRB 4–0 v SOU

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes57% Both teams scored in 5 of West Bromwich Albion's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Middlesbrough's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerWest BromwichDrawMiddlesbrough
WilliamHill 2.45 3.10 2.75
bet365 2.45 3.30 2.87
Betfair 2.38 3.25 2.80
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

West Bromwich Albion v Middlesbrough: prediction and result

West Bromwich Albion hosted Middlesbrough in the Championship on Friday 16 January, and Middlesbrough won 2–3 away from home.

West Bromwich Albion are short of results: 1 won, 0 drawn and 4 lost from their last 5, 3 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat away at Leicester City.

Middlesbrough are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 4–0 win at home to Southampton.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.45 for West Bromwich, 3.30 for the draw and 2.87 for Middlesbrough. The bookmakers make West Bromwich Albion favourites, at about 39% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: West Bromwich Albion to win, with a 42% chance. The market puts it at 38% and our match model at 47%, and blending those with recent form gives 42%. The best price, 2.45 at WilliamHill, is longer than our fair price of 2.39, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Championship table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.