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Southampton v Hull City prediction

Sat 17 Jan, 15:00 Championship Full time 1–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Southampton to win 55%
Southampton 55% Draw 24% Hull 21%
Best price1.60 WilliamHill Fair price1.82 from our 55%
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 59%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 49%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceSouthampton to win 55%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Southampton All games D L D D L
1–1 v CVC 1–2 at OXF 1–1 at BRC 0–0 v MLW 0–4 at MID
Hull City All games W W D W L
3–1 at MLW 1–0 v WBA 2–2 at SHF 1–0 at MID 0–1 v STK

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes59% Both teams scored in 4 of Southampton's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 5 of Hull City's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerSouthamptonDrawHull
WilliamHill 1.60 3.90 5.00
bet365 1.57 3.90 5.75
Betfair 1.55 4.00 5.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Southampton v Hull City: prediction and result

Southampton hosted Hull City in the Championship on Saturday 17 January, and Hull City won 1–2 away from home.

Southampton are short of results: 0 won, 3 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 3 points from a possible 15. They have scored 3 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 0–4 defeat away at Middlesbrough.

Hull City are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat at home to Stoke City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.60 for Southampton, 4.00 for the draw and 5.75 for Hull. The bookmakers make Southampton favourites, at about 60% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Southampton to win, with a 55% chance. The market puts it at 59% and our match model at 49%, and blending those with recent form gives 55%. The best price, 1.60 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.82. The pick lost.

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.