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Watford v Millwall prediction

Sat 17 Jan, 12:30 Championship Full time 0–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Watford to win 47%
Watford 47% Draw 26% Millwall 26%
Best price2.15 bet365 Fair price2.11 from our 47%
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 44%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 53%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceWatford to win 47%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Watford All games D W W W W
2–2 at WXH 1–0 v STK 2–1 at LEI 1–0 at NOR 3–0 v BRC
Millwall All games L D W D W
0–2 at BBR 0–0 v IPS 2–1 v BSC 0–0 at SOU 2–1 v SWA

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes52% Both teams scored in 4 of Watford's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Millwall's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerWatfordDrawMillwall
bet365 2.15 3.30 3.40
WilliamHill 2.10 3.30 3.20
Betfair 2.05 3.30 3.30
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Watford v Millwall: prediction and result

Watford hosted Millwall in the Championship on Saturday 17 January, and Millwall won 0–2 away from home.

Watford are in strong form: 4 won, 1 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 13 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 3–0 win at home to Birmingham City.

Millwall are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win at home to Swansea City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.15 for Watford, 3.30 for the draw and 3.40 for Millwall. The bookmakers make Watford favourites, at about 44% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Watford to win, with a 47% chance. The market puts it at 44% and our match model at 53%, and blending those with recent form gives 47%. The best price, 2.15 at bet365, is longer than our fair price of 2.11, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Championship table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.