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Bristol Rovers v Colchester United prediction

Sat 17 Jan, 15:00 League Two Full time 0–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Colchester United to win 43%
Bristol 30% Draw 27% Colchester 43%
Best price2.62 bet365 Fair price2.34 from our 43%

How we got to 43%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 36%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 52%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceColchester United to win 43%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Bristol Rovers All games L D L L W
0–3 v SWI 1–1 at CAX 2–3 v BMY 0–2 v BNT 3–0 at SHT
Colchester United All games L W D D W
3–4 at SAL 4–1 v NPT 1–1 at CRT 1–1 at GLG 1–0 v MKD

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes52% Both teams scored in 2 of Bristol Rovers's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Colchester United's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBristolDrawColchester
WilliamHill 2.70 3.20 2.50
Betfair 2.63 3.25 2.50
bet365 2.62 3.25 2.62
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Bristol Rovers v Colchester United: prediction and result

Bristol Rovers hosted Colchester United in the League Two on Saturday 17 January, and Colchester United won 0–1 away from home.

Bristol Rovers are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 3–0 win away at Shrewsbury Town.

Colchester United are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 10 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win at home to Milton Keynes Dons.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.70 for Bristol, 3.25 for the draw and 2.62 for Colchester. The bookmakers see little between Colchester United and Bristol Rovers here.

Our prediction: Colchester United to win, with a 43% chance. The market puts it at 36% and our match model at 52%, and blending those with recent form gives 43%. The best price, 2.62 at bet365, is longer than our fair price of 2.34, so there is value in it. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.