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Crewe Alexandra v Barrow prediction

Sat 17 Jan, 15:00 League Two Full time 3–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Crewe Alexandra to win 49%
Crewe 49% Draw 25% Barrow 26%
Best price1.83 WilliamHill Fair price2.05 from our 49%
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 51%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 45%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceCrewe Alexandra to win 49%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Crewe Alexandra All games D L L W D
1–1 v BRR 0–1 at WSL 0–2 at NPT 4–1 v CTT 1–1 v HAT
Barrow All games D L L W L
2–2 at GLG 1–2 v CTT 1–2 at ACC 3–1 at TRR 1–2 v SAL

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes64% Both teams scored in 6 of Crewe Alexandra's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 6 of Barrow's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerCreweDrawBarrow
WilliamHill 1.83 3.70 3.75
Betfair 1.80 3.75 3.80
bet365 1.80 4.00 3.70
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Crewe Alexandra v Barrow: prediction and result

Crewe Alexandra hosted Barrow in the League Two on Saturday 17 January and won 3–1.

Crewe Alexandra are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw at home to Harrogate Town.

Barrow are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat at home to Salford City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.83 for Crewe, 4.00 for the draw and 3.80 for Barrow. The bookmakers make Crewe Alexandra favourites, at about 52% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Crewe Alexandra to win, with a 49% chance. The market puts it at 51% and our match model at 45%, and blending those with recent form gives 49%. The best price, 1.83 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.05. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.