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Gillingham v Newport County prediction

Sat 17 Jan, 15:00 League Two Full time 3–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Gillingham to win 58%
Gillingham 58% Draw 24% Newport 17%
Best price1.60 WilliamHill Fair price1.72 from our 58%

How we got to 58%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 59%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 57%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceGillingham to win 58%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Gillingham All games D L D D L
2–2 v BRW 1–2 at FLT 1–1 v CMU 1–1 v CLU 0–2 at SWI
Newport County All games L L D W L
0–2 v FLT 1–4 at CLU 0–0 v BNT 2–0 v CAX 1–2 at BMY

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes53% Both teams scored in 6 of Gillingham's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Newport County's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerGillinghamDrawNewport
WilliamHill 1.60 3.75 5.50
bet365 1.60 4.00 5.50
Betfair 1.55 3.80 5.50
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Gillingham v Newport County: prediction and result

Gillingham hosted Newport County in the League Two on Saturday 17 January and won 3–2.

Gillingham are short of results: 0 won, 3 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 3 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 0–2 defeat away at Swindon Town.

Newport County are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat away at Bromley.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.60 for Gillingham, 4.00 for the draw and 5.50 for Newport. The bookmakers make Gillingham favourites, at about 59% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Gillingham to win, with a 58% chance. The market puts it at 59% and our match model at 57%, and blending those with recent form gives 58%. The best price, 1.60 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.72. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.