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Stevenage v Bolton Wanderers prediction

Tue 20 Jan, 19:45 League One Full time 0–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Bolton Wanderers to win 43%
Stevenage 28% Draw 29% Bolton 43%
Best price2.05 WilliamHill Fair price2.32 from our 43%

How we got to 43%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 46%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 39%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBolton Wanderers to win 43%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Stevenage All games D L D L L
0–0 at AWM 1–2 at CDF 1–1 v PLA 1–2 at LUT 0–3 at EXE
Bolton Wanderers All games L D D L W
0–1 v MAN 1–1 at DNR 0–0 v NHT 1–3 at PTU 1–0 at WIG

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes48% Both teams scored in 3 of Stevenage's last 5 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Bolton Wanderers's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerStevenageDrawBolton
Betfair 3.80 3.30 2.05
bet365 3.60 3.30 2.00
WilliamHill 3.50 3.10 2.05
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Stevenage v Bolton Wanderers: prediction and result

Stevenage hosted Bolton Wanderers in the League One on Tuesday 20 January, and it finished 0–0.

Stevenage are short of results: 0 won, 2 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 2 points from a possible 15. They have scored 3 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 0–3 defeat away at Exeter City.

Bolton Wanderers are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 3 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win away at Wigan Athletic.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.80 for Stevenage, 3.30 for the draw and 2.05 for Bolton. The bookmakers make Bolton Wanderers favourites, at about 46% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Bolton Wanderers to win, with a 43% chance. The market puts it at 46% and our match model at 39%, and blending those with recent form gives 43%. The best price, 2.05 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.32. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.