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Plymouth Argyle v Luton Town prediction

Sat 24 Jan, 12:30 League One Full time 1–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Plymouth Argyle to win 38%
Plymouth 38% Draw 27% Luton 35%
Best price2.45 Betfair Fair price2.61 from our 38%

How we got to 38%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 38%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 38%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chancePlymouth Argyle to win 38%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Plymouth Argyle All games L D D W W
1–4 v RDG 1–1 v WYC 1–1 at STV 3–0 v BRA 1–0 at PTU
Luton Town All games W W L W D
4–0 v WYC 3–0 v LEY 0–1 at EXE 2–1 v STV 2–2 v LNC

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes51% Both teams scored in 2 of Plymouth Argyle's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Luton Town's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerPlymouthDrawLuton
Betfair 2.45 3.50 2.80
bet365 2.45 3.40 2.75
WilliamHill 2.40 3.30 2.70
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Plymouth Argyle v Luton Town: prediction and result

Plymouth Argyle hosted Luton Town in the League One on Saturday 24 January and won 1–0.

Plymouth Argyle are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win away at Peterborough United.

Luton Town are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 11 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 2–2 draw at home to Lincoln City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.45 for Plymouth, 3.50 for the draw and 2.80 for Luton. The bookmakers see little between Plymouth Argyle and Luton Town here.

Our prediction: Plymouth Argyle to win, with a 38% chance. The market puts it at 38% and our match model at 38%, and blending those with recent form gives 38%. The best price, 2.45 at Betfair, is shorter than our fair price of 2.61. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.