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Lincoln City v Burton Albion prediction

Thu 22 Jan, 20:00 League One Full time 2–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Lincoln City to win 58%
Lincoln 58% Draw 24% Burton 19%
Best price1.53 WilliamHill Fair price1.74 from our 58%

How we got to 58%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 61%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 52%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceLincoln City to win 58%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Lincoln City All games W W D W D
2–1 at STO 2–0 at BRS 1–1 v HDD 5–2 v PTU 2–2 at LUT
Burton Albion All games W L L L W
5–1 v NHT 0–2 v WIG 0–2 at RDG 0–3 at PLA 3–1 v HDD

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes53% Both teams scored in 5 of Lincoln City's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Burton Albion's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerLincolnDrawBurton
WilliamHill 1.53 3.90 5.50
Betfair 1.50 4.00 6.50
bet365 1.50 4.10 6.25
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Lincoln City v Burton Albion: prediction and result

Lincoln City hosted Burton Albion in the League One on Thursday 22 January and won 2–1.

Lincoln City are in strong form: 3 won, 2 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 11 points from a possible 15. They have scored 12 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 2–2 draw away at Luton Town.

Burton Albion are in mixed form: 2 won, 0 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 3–1 win at home to Huddersfield Town.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.53 for Lincoln, 4.10 for the draw and 6.50 for Burton. The bookmakers make Lincoln City favourites, at about 62% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Lincoln City to win, with a 58% chance. The market puts it at 61% and our match model at 52%, and blending those with recent form gives 58%. The best price, 1.53 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.74. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.