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Newport County v Chesterfield prediction

Sat 24 Jan, 15:00 League Two Full time 2–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Chesterfield to win 47%
Newport 26% Draw 27% Chesterfield 47%
Best price1.91 Betfair Fair price2.11 from our 47%

How we got to 47%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 49%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 44%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceChesterfield to win 47%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Newport County All games L D W L L
1–4 at CLU 0–0 v BNT 2–0 v CAX 1–2 at BMY 2–3 at GLG
Chesterfield All games W L D D D
2–0 v NOT 0–1 v CMU 1–1 at OAT 2–2 at MKD 0–0 v BMY

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes53% Both teams scored in 2 of Newport County's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Chesterfield's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerNewportDrawChesterfield
Betfair 4.00 3.25 1.91
bet365 3.90 3.60 1.85
WilliamHill 3.80 3.50 1.85
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Newport County v Chesterfield: prediction and result

Newport County hosted Chesterfield in the League Two on Saturday 24 January and won 2–1.

Newport County are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 2–3 defeat away at Gillingham.

Chesterfield are in mixed form: 1 won, 3 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw at home to Bromley.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 4.00 for Newport, 3.60 for the draw and 1.91 for Chesterfield. The bookmakers make Chesterfield favourites, at about 50% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Chesterfield to win, with a 47% chance. The market puts it at 49% and our match model at 44%, and blending those with recent form gives 47%. The best price, 1.91 at Betfair, is shorter than our fair price of 2.11. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League Two table

More League Two predictions

All League Two picks that week →
3–2 FT Barnet v Oldham Athletic Barnet to win 49% 1–0 FT Notts County v Crewe Alexandra Notts County to win 45% 5–1 FT Milton Keynes Dons v Shrewsbury Town Milton Keynes Dons to win 62% 1–0 FT Salford City v Bristol Rovers Salford City to win 59% 2–1 FT Colchester United v Fleetwood Town Colchester United to win 52% 0–3 FT Harrogate Town v Gillingham Gillingham to win 52% 0–2 FT Cheltenham Town v Grimsby Town Grimsby Town to win 51% 4–2 FT Cambridge United v Tranmere Rovers Cambridge United to win 50%
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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.