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Colchester United v Grimsby Town prediction

Tue 27 Jan, 19:45 League Two Full time 0–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Colchester United to win 41%
Colchester 41% Draw 28% Grimsby 31%
Best price2.35 bet365 Fair price2.46 from our 41%

How we got to 41%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 40%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 41%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceColchester United to win 41%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Colchester United All games D D W W W
1–1 at CRT 1–1 at GLG 1–0 v MKD 1–0 at BRR 2–1 v FLT
Grimsby Town All games D W W W W
0–0 v OAT 1–0 v SHT 1–0 at FLT 1–0 v BNT 2–0 at CTT

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes49% Both teams scored in 2 of Colchester United's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Grimsby Town's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerColchesterDrawGrimsby
bet365 2.35 3.10 3.10
WilliamHill 2.30 3.10 3.00
Betfair 2.30 3.25 3.10
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Colchester United v Grimsby Town: prediction and result

Colchester United hosted Grimsby Town in the League Two on Tuesday 27 January, and Grimsby Town won 0–1 away from home.

Colchester United are in strong form: 3 won, 2 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 11 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win at home to Fleetwood Town.

Grimsby Town are in strong form: 4 won, 1 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 13 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 0 in that run. Their last game was a 2–0 win away at Cheltenham Town.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.35 for Colchester, 3.25 for the draw and 3.10 for Grimsby. The bookmakers make Colchester United favourites, at about 40% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Colchester United to win, with a 41% chance. The market puts it at 40% and our match model at 41%, and blending those with recent form gives 41%. The best price, 2.35 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 2.46. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.