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Leeds United v Arsenal prediction

Sat 31 Jan, 15:00 Premier League Full time 0–4
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Arsenal to win 58%
Leeds 18% Draw 24% Arsenal 58%
Best price1.57 bet365 Fair price1.73 from our 58%

How we got to 58%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 61%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 53%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceArsenal to win 58%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Leeds United All games D D L W D
0–0 at LIV 1–1 v MUN 3–4 at NEW 1–0 v FUL 1–1 at EVE
Arsenal All games W W D D L
4–1 v AVL 3–2 at BOU 0–0 v LIV 0–0 at NFO 2–3 v MUN

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes55% Both teams scored in 5 of Leeds United's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Arsenal's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerLeedsDrawArsenal
Betfair 6.50 4.20 1.53
WilliamHill 5.80 3.90 1.55
bet365 5.50 4.20 1.57
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Leeds United v Arsenal: prediction and result

Leeds United hosted Arsenal in the Premier League on Saturday 31 January, and Arsenal won 0–4 away from home.

Leeds United are in mixed form: 1 won, 3 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at Everton.

Arsenal are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 2–3 defeat at home to Manchester United.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 6.50 for Leeds, 4.20 for the draw and 1.57 for Arsenal. The bookmakers make Arsenal favourites, at about 62% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Arsenal to win, with a 58% chance. The market puts it at 61% and our match model at 53%, and blending those with recent form gives 58%. The best price, 1.57 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 1.73. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

More Premier League predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.