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Liverpool v Newcastle United prediction

Sat 31 Jan, 20:00 Premier League Full time 4–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Liverpool to win 60%
Liverpool 60% Draw 22% Newcastle 18%
Best price1.65 WilliamHill Fair price1.67 from our 60%

How we got to 60%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 58%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 64%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceLiverpool to win 60%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Liverpool All games D D D D L
0–0 v LEE 2–2 at FUL 0–0 at ARS 1–1 v BUR 2–3 at BOU
Newcastle United All games W W W D L
3–1 at BUR 2–0 v CRY 4–3 v LEE 0–0 at WOL 0–2 v AVL

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes56% Both teams scored in 3 of Liverpool's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Newcastle United's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerLiverpoolDrawNewcastle
WilliamHill 1.65 4.00 4.60
Betfair 1.62 4.10 4.75
bet365 1.61 4.33 4.75
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Liverpool v Newcastle United: prediction and result

Liverpool hosted Newcastle United in the Premier League on Saturday 31 January and won 4–1.

Liverpool are in mixed form: 0 won, 4 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 2–3 defeat away at AFC Bournemouth.

Newcastle United are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 0–2 defeat at home to Aston Villa.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.65 for Liverpool, 4.33 for the draw and 4.75 for Newcastle. The bookmakers make Liverpool favourites, at about 58% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Liverpool to win, with a 60% chance. The market puts it at 58% and our match model at 64%, and blending those with recent form gives 60%. The best price, 1.65 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.67. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

More Premier League predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.