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Leeds United v Nottingham Forest prediction

Fri 6 Feb, 20:00 Premier League Full time 3–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Leeds United to win 43%
Leeds 43% Draw 27% Nott'm Forest 30%
Best price2.10 WilliamHill Fair price2.33 from our 43%

How we got to 43%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 44%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 41%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceLeeds United to win 43%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Leeds United All games D L W D L
1–1 v MUN 3–4 at NEW 1–0 v FUL 1–1 at EVE 0–4 v ARS
Nottingham Forest All games L W D W D
1–3 at AVL 2–1 at WHU 0–0 v ARS 2–0 at BRE 1–1 v CRY

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes53% Both teams scored in 4 of Leeds United's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Nottingham Forest's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerLeedsDrawNott'm Forest
WilliamHill 2.10 3.30 3.40
Betfair 2.10 3.25 3.25
bet365 2.10 3.40 3.50
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Leeds United v Nottingham Forest: prediction and result

Leeds United hosted Nottingham Forest in the Premier League on Friday 6 February and won 3–1.

Leeds United are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 10 in that run. Their last game was a 0–4 defeat at home to Arsenal.

Nottingham Forest are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw at home to Crystal Palace.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.10 for Leeds, 3.40 for the draw and 3.50 for Nott'm Forest. The bookmakers make Leeds United favourites, at about 45% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Leeds United to win, with a 43% chance. The market puts it at 44% and our match model at 41%, and blending those with recent form gives 43%. The best price, 2.10 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.33. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

More Premier League predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.