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Newcastle United v Brentford prediction

Sat 7 Feb, 17:30 Premier League Full time 2–3
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Newcastle United to win 50%
Newcastle 50% Draw 25% Brentford 25%
Best price2.00 Betfair Fair price2.00 from our 50%

How we got to 50%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 48%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 53%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceNewcastle United to win 50%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Newcastle United All games W W D L L
2–0 v CRY 4–3 v LEE 0–0 at WOL 0–2 v AVL 1–4 at LIV
Brentford All games W W L L W
4–2 at EVE 3–0 v SUN 0–2 at CHE 0–2 v NFO 1–0 at AVL

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes56% Both teams scored in 4 of Newcastle United's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 1 of Brentford's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerNewcastleDrawBrentford
Betfair 2.00 3.25 3.50
WilliamHill 1.91 3.50 3.80
bet365 1.90 3.75 3.75
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Newcastle United v Brentford: prediction and result

Newcastle United hosted Brentford in the Premier League on Saturday 7 February, and Brentford won 2–3 away from home.

Newcastle United are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 1–4 defeat away at Liverpool.

Brentford are in decent form: 3 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win away at Aston Villa.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.00 for Newcastle, 3.75 for the draw and 3.80 for Brentford. The bookmakers make Newcastle United favourites, at about 49% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Newcastle United to win, with a 50% chance. The market puts it at 48% and our match model at 53%, and blending those with recent form gives 50%. The best price, 2.00 at Betfair, is shorter than our fair price of 2.00. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.