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AFC Wimbledon v Reading prediction

Sat 7 Feb, 15:01 League One Full time 3–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Reading to win 37%
AFC Wimbledon 35% Draw 28% Reading 37%
Best price2.50 Betfair Fair price2.70 from our 37%

How we got to 37%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 37%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 36%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceReading to win 37%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
AFC Wimbledon All games L L D L W
0–2 at WYC 0–1 v DNR 1–1 at RTU 0–1 v BOL 1–0 at PTV
Reading All games W L D D W
1–0 v STO 1–3 at LEY 2–2 v BRS 2–2 v EXE 2–0 at NHT

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes47% Both teams scored in 1 of AFC Wimbledon's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Reading's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerAFC WimbledonDrawReading
Betfair 2.75 3.25 2.50
WilliamHill 2.70 3.10 2.45
bet365 2.70 3.30 2.45
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

AFC Wimbledon v Reading: prediction and result

AFC Wimbledon hosted Reading in the League One on Saturday 7 February and won 3–2.

AFC Wimbledon are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 2 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win away at Port Vale.

Reading are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 2–0 win away at Northampton Town.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.75 for AFC Wimbledon, 3.30 for the draw and 2.50 for Reading. The bookmakers see little between Reading and AFC Wimbledon here.

Our prediction: Reading to win, with a 37% chance. The market puts it at 37% and our match model at 36%, and blending those with recent form gives 37%. The best price, 2.50 at Betfair, is shorter than our fair price of 2.70. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League One table

More League One predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.