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Northampton Town v Stevenage prediction

Sat 7 Feb, 15:01 League One Full time 3–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Northampton Town to win 37%
Northampton 37% Draw 29% Stevenage 34%
Best price3.10 bet365 Fair price2.69 from our 37%

How we got to 37%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 40%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 33%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceNorthampton Town to win 37%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Northampton Town All games L L L L D
1–2 v WYC 0–2 at BLK 1–2 at RTU 0–2 v RDG 2–2 at BRS
Stevenage All games L D D W L
0–3 at EXE 0–0 v BOL 1–1 v MAN 1–0 v PTU 1–3 at BRS

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes51% Both teams scored in 4 of Northampton Town's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Stevenage's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerNorthamptonDrawStevenage
bet365 3.10 3.10 2.37
WilliamHill 3.00 2.90 2.30
Betfair 1.57 3.50 6.50
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Northampton Town v Stevenage: prediction and result

Northampton Town hosted Stevenage in the League One on Saturday 7 February and won 3–1.

Northampton Town are short of results: 0 won, 1 drawn and 4 lost from their last 5, 1 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 10 in that run. Their last game was a 2–2 draw away at Barnsley.

Stevenage are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 3 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 1–3 defeat away at Barnsley.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.10 for Northampton, 3.50 for the draw and 6.50 for Stevenage. The bookmakers see little between Northampton Town and the draw here.

Our prediction: Northampton Town to win, with a 37% chance. The market puts it at 40% and our match model at 33%, and blending those with recent form gives 37%. The best price, 3.10 at bet365, is longer than our fair price of 2.69, so there is value in it. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.