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Plymouth Argyle v Lincoln City prediction

Sat 7 Feb, 15:01 League One Full time 1–4
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Plymouth Argyle to win 38%
Plymouth 38% Draw 27% Lincoln 35%
Best price2.80 bet365 Fair price2.61 from our 38%

How we got to 38%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 42%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 32%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chancePlymouth Argyle to win 38%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Plymouth Argyle All games W W W D L
3–0 v BRA 1–0 at PTU 1–0 v LUT 1–1 v MAN 1–2 at STO
Lincoln City All games W D W W W
5–2 v PTU 2–2 at LUT 2–1 v BRA 3–0 v BDC 1–0 at WIG

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes54% Both teams scored in 3 of Plymouth Argyle's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Lincoln City's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerPlymouthDrawLincoln
bet365 2.80 3.30 2.40
WilliamHill 2.75 3.30 2.38
Betfair 1.53 3.75 6.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Plymouth Argyle v Lincoln City: prediction and result

Plymouth Argyle hosted Lincoln City in the League One on Saturday 7 February, and Lincoln City won 1–4 away from home.

Plymouth Argyle are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat away at Stockport County.

Lincoln City are in strong form: 4 won, 1 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 13 points from a possible 15. They have scored 13 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win away at Wigan Athletic.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.80 for Plymouth, 3.75 for the draw and 6.00 for Lincoln. The bookmakers make Plymouth Argyle favourites, at about 45% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Plymouth Argyle to win, with a 38% chance. The market puts it at 42% and our match model at 32%, and blending those with recent form gives 38%. The best price, 2.80 at bet365, is longer than our fair price of 2.61, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.