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Wrexham v Millwall prediction

Sat 7 Feb, 15:01 Championship Full time 0–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Wrexham to win 38%
Wrexham 38% Draw 28% Millwall 34%
Best price2.70 bet365 Fair price2.61 from our 38%

How we got to 38%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 36%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 42%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceWrexham to win 38%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Wrexham All games W L D W W
2–1 at DRB 1–2 v NOR 1–1 v LEI 3–2 at QPR 1–0 at SHF
Millwall All games W W L W D
2–1 v SWA 2–0 at WAT 1–2 at CVC 4–0 v CHA 1–1 v SHU

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes56% Both teams scored in 6 of Wrexham's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Millwall's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerWrexhamDrawMillwall
bet365 2.70 3.25 2.62
WilliamHill 2.62 3.10 2.62
Betfair 2.50 3.25 2.63
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Wrexham v Millwall: prediction and result

Wrexham hosted Millwall in the Championship on Saturday 7 February, and Millwall won 0–2 away from home.

Wrexham are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win away at Sheffield Wednesday.

Millwall are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 10 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw at home to Sheffield United.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.70 for Wrexham, 3.25 for the draw and 2.63 for Millwall. The bookmakers see little between Millwall and Wrexham here.

Our prediction: Wrexham to win, with a 38% chance. The market puts it at 36% and our match model at 42%, and blending those with recent form gives 38%. The best price, 2.70 at bet365, is longer than our fair price of 2.61, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Championship table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.