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Barnsley v AFC Wimbledon prediction

Sat 14 Feb, 15:00 League One Full time 3–3
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Barnsley to win 45%
Barnsley 45% Draw 26% AFC Wimbledon 29%
Best price2.00 WilliamHill Fair price2.20 from our 45%

How we got to 45%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 46%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 44%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBarnsley to win 45%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Barnsley All games D L W D L
2–2 at RDG 0–4 at CDF 3–1 v STV 2–2 v NHT 2–3 at BOL
AFC Wimbledon All games L D L W W
0–1 v DNR 1–1 at RTU 0–1 v BOL 1–0 at PTV 3–2 v RDG

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes58% Both teams scored in 5 of Barnsley's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of AFC Wimbledon's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBarnsleyDrawAFC Wimbledon
WilliamHill 2.00 3.40 3.30
Betfair 2.00 3.50 3.25
bet365 1.95 3.50 3.50
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Barnsley v AFC Wimbledon: prediction and result

Barnsley hosted AFC Wimbledon in the League One on Saturday 14 February, and it finished 3–3.

Barnsley are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 12 in that run. Their last game was a 2–3 defeat away at Bolton Wanderers.

AFC Wimbledon are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 3–2 win at home to Reading.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.00 for Barnsley, 3.50 for the draw and 3.50 for AFC Wimbledon. The bookmakers make Barnsley favourites, at about 47% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Barnsley to win, with a 45% chance. The market puts it at 46% and our match model at 44%, and blending those with recent form gives 45%. The best price, 2.00 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.20. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.