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Cardiff City v Luton Town prediction

Sat 14 Feb, 15:00 League One Full time 3–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Cardiff City to win 54%
Cardiff 54% Draw 23% Luton 22%
Best price1.75 WilliamHill Fair price1.84 from our 54%

How we got to 54%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 53%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 57%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceCardiff City to win 54%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Cardiff City All games W D W D W
2–1 at BDC 1–1 v STO 4–0 v BRS 2–2 at BRA 3–0 at RTU
Luton Town All games D L L W W
2–2 v LNC 0–1 at PLA 0–1 at HDD 1–0 v BLK 2–1 v BDC

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes53% Both teams scored in 3 of Cardiff City's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Luton Town's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerCardiffDrawLuton
WilliamHill 1.75 3.60 4.00
bet365 1.75 3.80 4.00
Betfair 1.73 3.75 4.20
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Cardiff City v Luton Town: prediction and result

Cardiff City hosted Luton Town in the League One on Saturday 14 February and won 3–1.

Cardiff City are in strong form: 3 won, 2 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 11 points from a possible 15. They have scored 12 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 3–0 win away at Rotherham United.

Luton Town are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win at home to Bradford City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.75 for Cardiff, 3.80 for the draw and 4.20 for Luton. The bookmakers make Cardiff City favourites, at about 53% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Cardiff City to win, with a 54% chance. The market puts it at 53% and our match model at 57%, and blending those with recent form gives 54%. The best price, 1.75 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.84. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.