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Lincoln City v Bolton Wanderers prediction

Sat 14 Feb, 15:00 League One Full time 1–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Lincoln City to win 40%
Lincoln 40% Draw 27% Bolton 33%
Best price2.30 WilliamHill Fair price2.49 from our 40%

How we got to 40%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 41%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 39%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceLincoln City to win 40%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Lincoln City All games D W W W W
2–2 at LUT 2–1 v BRA 3–0 v BDC 1–0 at WIG 4–1 at PLA
Bolton Wanderers All games D W W W W
0–0 at STV 2–1 v LEY 2–1 v BRA 1–0 at AWM 3–2 v BRS

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes56% Both teams scored in 5 of Lincoln City's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Bolton Wanderers's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerLincolnDrawBolton
WilliamHill 2.30 3.25 2.90
Betfair 2.25 3.25 3.00
bet365 2.25 3.50 2.90
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Lincoln City v Bolton Wanderers: prediction and result

Lincoln City hosted Bolton Wanderers in the League One on Saturday 14 February, and it finished 1–1.

Lincoln City are in strong form: 4 won, 1 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 13 points from a possible 15. They have scored 12 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 4–1 win away at Plymouth Argyle.

Bolton Wanderers are in strong form: 4 won, 1 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 13 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 3–2 win at home to Barnsley.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.30 for Lincoln, 3.50 for the draw and 3.00 for Bolton. The bookmakers make Lincoln City favourites, at about 41% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Lincoln City to win, with a 40% chance. The market puts it at 41% and our match model at 39%, and blending those with recent form gives 40%. The best price, 2.30 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.49. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League One table

More League One predictions

All League One picks that week →
1–2 FT Mansfield Town v Peterborough United Mansfield Town to win 40% 1–2 FT Wigan Athletic v Reading Wigan Athletic to win 38% 3–2 FT Reading v Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers to win 39% 1–0 FT Stevenage v Huddersfield Town Stevenage to win 37% 2–0 FT Bradford City v Peterborough United Bradford City to win 55% 3–1 FT Cardiff City v Luton Town Cardiff City to win 54% 0–0 FT Exeter City v Northampton Town Exeter City to win 47% 3–3 FT Barnsley v AFC Wimbledon Barnsley to win 45%
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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.