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Middlesbrough v Oxford United prediction

Sat 21 Feb, 15:00 Championship Full time 0–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Middlesbrough to win 57%
Middlesbrough 57% Draw 33% Oxford 10%
Best price6.00 Betfair Fair price1.75 from our 57%
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 51%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 67%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceMiddlesbrough to win 57%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Middlesbrough All games W W W W L
2–1 at STK 4–0 v PNE 1–0 v NOR 2–1 at SHU 1–3 at CVC
Oxford United All games W L L D L
2–1 at LEI 0–2 v BRC 1–3 at SHU 0–0 at CVC 0–3 v NOR

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes46% Both teams scored in 1 of Middlesbrough's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Oxford United's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerMiddlesbroughDrawOxford
Betfair 6.00 1.13 26.00
WilliamHill 1.36 4.60 8.00
bet365 1.36 4.75 8.50
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Middlesbrough v Oxford United: prediction and result

Middlesbrough hosted Oxford United in the Championship on Saturday 21 February, and it finished 0–0.

Middlesbrough are in strong form: 4 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 12 points from a possible 15. They have scored 10 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 1–3 defeat away at Coventry City.

Oxford United are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 3 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 0–3 defeat at home to Norwich City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 6.00 for Middlesbrough, 4.75 for the draw and 26.00 for Oxford. The bookmakers make the draw the likeliest result, at about 51%.

Our prediction: Middlesbrough to win, with a 57% chance. The market puts it at 51% and our match model at 67%, and blending those with recent form gives 57%. The best price, 6.00 at Betfair, is longer than our fair price of 1.75, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.