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Southampton v Charlton Athletic prediction

Sat 21 Feb, 15:00 Championship Full time 1–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Southampton to win 58%
Southampton 58% Draw 24% Charlton 18%
Best price1.55 WilliamHill Fair price1.73 from our 58%

How we got to 58%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 61%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 53%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceSouthampton to win 58%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Southampton All games W D W W W
1–0 v SHU 1–1 at PTM 2–0 at STK 1–0 v WAT 4–3 at LEI
Charlton Athletic All games L W D W L
0–4 at MLW 2–0 at LEI 0–0 v QPR 1–0 v STK 1–3 v PTM

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes51% Both teams scored in 3 of Southampton's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Charlton Athletic's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerSouthamptonDrawCharlton
WilliamHill 1.55 4.00 5.50
bet365 1.55 4.20 5.75
Betfair 1.53 3.75 6.50
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Southampton v Charlton Athletic: prediction and result

Southampton hosted Charlton Athletic in the Championship on Saturday 21 February, and it finished 1–1.

Southampton are in strong form: 4 won, 1 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 13 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 4–3 win away at Leicester City.

Charlton Athletic are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 1–3 defeat at home to Portsmouth.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.55 for Southampton, 4.20 for the draw and 6.50 for Charlton. The bookmakers make Southampton favourites, at about 62% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Southampton to win, with a 58% chance. The market puts it at 61% and our match model at 53%, and blending those with recent form gives 58%. The best price, 1.55 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.73. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Championship table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.